Predictions for Black Friday – Cyber Monday 2016

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Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, is traditionally the biggest sales day of the year for retailers. Starting in 2015, stores decided to jump the traditions and start sales earlier in the MONTH! Realistically, these sales were not as good as the main event.

We will analyze the deals from Black Friday 2015 and Cyber Monday 2015 and produce our educated guess on Black Friday 2016 and Cyber Monday 2016 sale items.

Predicted Black Friday 2016 Deals

The First Black Friday 2015 ad was leaked on October 27, 2015.  We expect this date to be pushed even early in 2016. Stores want to make a big splash and get in the news.

Way too many stores were open on Thanksgiving in 2015, we expect fewer stores will open, allowing people to spend time with their families, as SHOULD be the case. MOST online sales start on Thanksgiving anyway, so keep that tradition going.

Electronics are one of the biggest Black Friday sales items. We found Black Friday deals on lots of electronic items that were much better than the prices you can get now:

  • Video Game Consoles. The PS4, Xbox One, and Wii U were all $50 off on Black Friday 2015. Microsoft even offered a $60 Xbox gift code with your purchase.  For 2016 the consoles have been updated to the PS4 Slim, PS4 Pro (Ships 11/10/2016), and Xbox One S. New bundles will be available for the Holidays. We expect the same $50 off deals plus a gift card on both PS4 Slim and Xbox One S, while the PS4 Pro may not see a discount due to intentionally? limited inventory.
  • Tablets. At Target, you could get a free $150 gift card with your purchase of the iPad Air 2 in 2015. 5% off for Red Card users. No drop in retail price. You could also get a $100 card for buying the iPad Mini 4.  With tablet sales in continue decline, expect slightly larger gift cards this year.  iPad Pro 9.7 will join in the gift card promotions. Samsung Tablets will fall in price.
  • Laptops. At Staples, we found Dell and HP laptops marked down to half price or less at Black Friday 2015. You could also get similar savings on printers and all kinds of accessories. Laptops are also falling in demand, so expect the same or larger discounts.
  • TVs. Many HDTVs were marked down on Black Friday 2015. At Best Buy, we found a 49” Toshiba 1080p TV marked down from $430 to $150, a 65% savings.  In 2016, 1080p sets will be blown out for even less.  4K HDTV are becoming mainstream, we expect a 50 inch 4K HDTV to sell for only $400-450.
  • Smartphones. We found tons of Black Friday 2015 deals on smartphones. For instance, at Target, the Boost Mobile Moto E was reduced from $100 to $30, a whopping 70% savings. In 2016, expect free gift cards of $100-$300 with iPhones for Samsung Galaxy S7 phones.  Accessories and Unlocked phones will continue to go on sale too.
  • Wearable Technology. Fitbit were extremely popular in 2015.  The latest Fitbits are price fixed and rarely discounted.  Expect 15-20% discount on most Fitbit products during Black Friday 2016.
  • Smart Thermostats - Home Internet of Things. At Target, you could get a free $50 gift card with your purchase of the newest Nest thermostat. You could also use your Red card to knock $12 off the price.  In 2016 expect more discounting on connected smoke alarms, cameras, and other home tech.
  • Gift Cards. At Toys R Us and Babies R Us, you could buy a $100 gift card for $85. On eBay there were many 10-20% off gift cards sold including iTunes, eBay, and more.  In 2016 expect more gift card discounts..

We found Black Friday deals on other products, as well. For instance, if you spent $75 on Black Friday at Target, you got a coupon for 20% off your next shopping trip between Dec. 4 and Dec. 13, 2015

Hottest Deals

Predicted Cyber Monday 2016 Deals

The other big shopping day is Cyber Monday, the Monday after Thanksgiving, when people slack off at work to shop online. Predictions for 2016 include:

  • A coupon code for 15% off everything at Target, including the Apple Watch and Apple TV was offered in 2015, expect the same in 2016.
  • A variety of sales and coupons at Kohl’s, including 20% off the entire site and $15 in Kohl’s Cash for every $50 spent - good for the whole week after Thanksgiving should also be offered.
  • A $300 gift card at Best Buy with the purchase of a new Samsung smartphone. 2016 should have the same.
  • 30% off the entire Kate Spade site, good through Dec. 5 should come back early in December.
  • 50% to 60% off all items on the Perry Ellis site, plus a coupon code for an extra 10% off may return for 2015
  • 60% off selected styles at Sunglass Hut, should return for 2016.
  • $25 off a $100 purchase at Rakuten (Buy.com) when you used Visa Checkout to pay for your purchase. We expect more Visa Checkout or Masterpass discounts to show up at Rakuten, newegg and several other stores.

According to Forbes, although Black Friday crowds were disappointing this year, Cyber Monday actually had its biggest sales numbers ever. So maybe all those shoppers who weren’t in stores weren’t really missing out on the great deals - they were just shopping from the comfort of home. In 2016, expect even more people to shop online.

What Deals are Available Now

To find the best deals from now:

  • Visit BuyVia to stay up to date on Sales. New deals are popping up daily
  • Use Shopping Apps for Android and iOS to barcode scan items and find local deals and coupons.
  • Stay tuned for more hot deals on Green Monday, December 12, 2016 - This is the Monday at least 10 days prior to Christmas.
  • Watch for last minute sales right before Christmas Shipping deadlines - December 15-21, 2016
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